Venture & Gain

Not your typical financial clickbait. Insights on wealth, investing, behavioral finance, markets, & more.

The Hindsight Trap: How to Avoid the Pitfalls of Overconfidence in Investing
Investing James W. Vermillion III Investing James W. Vermillion III

The Hindsight Trap: How to Avoid the Pitfalls of Overconfidence in Investing

Everyone in finance is Nostradamus. The uptick in inflation was obvious. The bear market was so predictable. It was clear that ABC Co. stock was going higher. There's only one problem with those three statements -  they aren't true. Yet, when market pundits discuss past events, they describe them as inevitable. That's why hindsight bias is also called the "knew-it-all-along" effect.

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From Blue Skies to Stormy Waters: Five Red Flags for Long-Term Investors
Investing James W. Vermillion III Investing James W. Vermillion III

From Blue Skies to Stormy Waters: Five Red Flags for Long-Term Investors

Mixed messages confuse investors already battling human nature, which has evolved to make long-term investing challenging. Market corrections and bear markets can be excellent opportunities for long-term investors, but how do you know when to keep buying specific stocks or sell?

Here are five red flags that would cause me to do extra digging.

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Unlocking Opportunities: Actionable Steps for Investors in a Bear Market
Investing James W. Vermillion III Investing James W. Vermillion III

Unlocking Opportunities: Actionable Steps for Investors in a Bear Market

It's officially official. The S&P is in bear market territory, having crossed the arbitrary line in the sand. Pundits can now move on from "is a bear market coming" to "how bad will it be" and "how long will it last."

If this is your first bear market, it won't be your last, so pay special attention to how you feel, act, think, and cope

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Unleashing the Power of the Subconscious Mind: Lessons from Arnold Van Den Berg
Mindset James W. Vermillion III Mindset James W. Vermillion III

Unleashing the Power of the Subconscious Mind: Lessons from Arnold Van Den Berg

Arnold Van Den Berg survived the Holocaust but was left angry, confused, and depressed. His parents miraculously survived Auschwitz, but his early years were filled with angst. A damaged young man emerged from the war, but Arnold recovered to become a top-class money manager by learning to control his mind - a true rags to riches story.

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Unlocking the Magic of Compounding: Why 'Later' is Your Biggest Enemy
Mindset James W. Vermillion III Mindset James W. Vermillion III

Unlocking the Magic of Compounding: Why 'Later' is Your Biggest Enemy

One word can change the course of your financial history - "later." 

That single word can doom even the most well-intended personal finance goals. I've talked to very rich people, and I've spoken with poor people, and without a doubt, the number one regret most people have when it comes to financing is waiting until "later."

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Unmasking Weasel Words: Politicians and Financial Experts Use of Transitory
Markets James W. Vermillion III Markets James W. Vermillion III

Unmasking Weasel Words: Politicians and Financial Experts Use of Transitory

Weasel words sound consequential but only communicate something vague. Politicians love weasel words. They use them to answer simple questions with long-drawn-out answers, using poetic language and passionate displays while saying little meaning or value.

I felt it'd be appropriate to look at a new favorite weasel word of mine, or least favorite, depending on how you look at it (perspective matters, as you'll see below).

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Optionality: The Key to Antifragile Investing in the Tech Age
Investing James W. Vermillion III Investing James W. Vermillion III

Optionality: The Key to Antifragile Investing in the Tech Age

The world promised us jet packs, flying cars, disintegration, and hoverboards (that actually hover). Instead, all we got was 24/7 access to work emails, distorted views of reality from social media, and fake news. That's how some people see the state of innovation. While not entirely wrong, that's a very pessimistic view and demonstrates how poorly we predict the future.

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The Conflict: Investment Success and the Battle of Inner Personalities
Mindset, Investing James W. Vermillion III Mindset, Investing James W. Vermillion III

The Conflict: Investment Success and the Battle of Inner Personalities

I was reminded of the story of the two wolves when I read a quote by Wall Street Journal columnist Jason Zweig. When asked the secret to investment success, he answered:

“Within you lurk an angel, a devil, a scholar, and an idiot. If the angel and the scholar ever let their guard down, the devil and the idiot will wreak havoc that will take years of work to undo.”

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Zoom Out for Perspective: Thriving Amidst Market Corrections
Investing, Mindset James W. Vermillion III Investing, Mindset James W. Vermillion III

Zoom Out for Perspective: Thriving Amidst Market Corrections

When you look at your investment account, does your stomach feel like you've eaten a tainted meal? Even seasoned investors sometimes get that queasy feeling as they watch their portfolio balances decline. I imagine this is part of the human condition inherited from ancient times of survival in a world with far more significant risks and fewer resources. Fight or flight.

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Atomic Habits: Unleashing Financial Success through Small Changes
Planning, Mindset James W. Vermillion III Planning, Mindset James W. Vermillion III

Atomic Habits: Unleashing Financial Success through Small Changes

The Atomic Habits methodology starts with the premise that "success is the product of daily habits - not once-in-a-lifetime transformations." This doesn't jive with gurus who preach overnight life-altering changes, but it makes a lot of sense.

Clear didn't' explicitly write atomic Habits about personal finance, but the same ideas that help people create habits in other areas of life can help you reach your financial goals.

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Anchoring Bias: The Hidden Weight on Your Investment Decisions
Mindset, Investing James W. Vermillion III Mindset, Investing James W. Vermillion III

Anchoring Bias: The Hidden Weight on Your Investment Decisions

Any good boat captain knows the importance of a quality anchor. The earliest water navigators probably struggled with drift much like we do, minus the Yeti coolers of adult beverages. Not to be deterred, these early skippers likely took a heavy rock, tied it to thin tree branches, and created the first anchor. Hundreds of generations of intoxicated lake goers owe a debt of gratitude.

More recently, economists used the anchor to describe a cognitive bias that impacts investor decision-making.

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FIRE Extinguished?: Avoiding Burnout on the Path to Financial Independence
Planning James W. Vermillion III Planning James W. Vermillion III

FIRE Extinguished?: Avoiding Burnout on the Path to Financial Independence

As a financial advisor, the FIRE movement is attractive. It's built on the foundation of delayed gratification, the most critical attribute to overall happiness, in my opinion. 

Extreme savings and investing define the movement. And while attaining financial independence is a worthy goal, one shouldn't pursue it so ferociously that they sacrifice the present.

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Inflation: The Scary Headlines and the Real Story
Markets James W. Vermillion III Markets James W. Vermillion III

Inflation: The Scary Headlines and the Real Story

The spooky season may be over, but scary headlines about inflation are still frightening investors. There's always something to "worry" about regarding the markets and investing, and inflation is the trendy topic today. But should we worry about inflation? Is it coming? And will it last?

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